Avisaíl García to sign with Marlins (source) 

Outfielder Avisaíl García and the Marlins are reportedly in agreement on a four-year deal worth $53 million, sources told on Sunday. The club has not confirmed.

García declined a one-year, $12 million mutual option with the Brewers for 2022 in order to test the free-agent market. The 30-year-old is coming off one of his best seasons as a big leaguer, as he emerged as a middle-of-the-order threat for Milwaukee in hitting .262/.330/.490 (117 adjusted OPS+) with a career-high 29 homers and 86 RBIs. It was a marked turnaround for García from his ‘20 debut season with the Crew in which he hit .238 and slugged just .326.

When García is in peak form, as he was for much of 2021, he is an everyday outfielder with flashy tools. The Anaco, Venezuela, native reached a peak exit velocity of 116.7 mph (98th percentile in MLB), made hard contact on roughly 46% of his balls in play (78th percentile), barreled 12% of those batted balls (80th percentile) and averaged a sprint speed of 28.7 feet per second (88th percentile). Defensive metric systems differed in their assessment of García in right field (-2 Outs Above Average, via Statcast; 8 defensive runs saved, via Baseball Info Solutions), though he possesses elite arm strength.

For as many tools as García brings to the table, his career has lacked consistency. This past season was only his third as a 2-win player or better, via Baseball-Reference’s version of WAR, and he has yet to string together two consecutive seasons with an OPS+ above league average. García’s lack of plate discipline is part of what makes him a boom-or-bust player; he recorded MLB’s fourth-highest swing rate (min. 1,000 pitches seen) by offering at 58% of the deliveries he saw, and also ranked in MLB’s fourth percentile in chase rate and sixth percentile in whiff-per-swing rate. Still, García has the potential to offer tremendous value as a toolsy outfielder still at the tail end of his prime years as a big leaguer, as the Brewers enjoyed in 2021.

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